What's in a poll? Lots of stuff if as they say on TeeVee you go inside the poll and look at the raw numbers. Let's take a look at the raw numbers in a recent poll conducted by Public Policy Institute regarding the upcoming Alabama Gubernatorial Race.
Congressman Artur Davis is leading the Democratic field with 38%, followed by Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks with 28% and Franklin Thomas with 9%.
PPI polled 407 Democratic primary voters (no, they didn't poll me) between March 27 and March 29. 50% of those polled considered themselves conservatives (I wonder why?), 13% considered themselves liberal (yay!) and 37% considered themselves moderates (what the heck is a moderate?)
72% of those polled were white, 24% African American and 4% other. 42% of those polled were between the ages of 46-65.
Based on my analysis of the raw numbers Congressman Davis is barely leading Commissioner Sparks with a 10 point lead and Franklin Thomas Franklin is the decider with 9% of the vote.
There are more Democratic voters with an unfavorable opinion than favorable of Davis because of his vote against health care reform which 80% of democratic voters support. Davis' vote against HCR hurt him. He may be counting on Alabama democrats having a short attention span by trying to distance himself from the vote and distract voters with other issues, but Alabama democratic voters don't suffer from amnesia. We have a memory like an elephant (pun intended).
Davis leads Sparks with African American voters however 24% (AA polled) of 407 (democrats polled) is 97.68. 34% of 98 is 37.24. That ain't a lot of African Americans. Whoever is the winner of the Democratic primary is going to need to garner at least 50% of the African American vote.
I'm just saying.
Congressman Artur Davis is leading the Democratic field with 38%, followed by Agriculture Commissioner Ron Sparks with 28% and Franklin Thomas with 9%.
PPI polled 407 Democratic primary voters (no, they didn't poll me) between March 27 and March 29. 50% of those polled considered themselves conservatives (I wonder why?), 13% considered themselves liberal (yay!) and 37% considered themselves moderates (what the heck is a moderate?)
72% of those polled were white, 24% African American and 4% other. 42% of those polled were between the ages of 46-65.
Based on my analysis of the raw numbers Congressman Davis is barely leading Commissioner Sparks with a 10 point lead and Franklin Thomas Franklin is the decider with 9% of the vote.
There are more Democratic voters with an unfavorable opinion than favorable of Davis because of his vote against health care reform which 80% of democratic voters support. Davis' vote against HCR hurt him. He may be counting on Alabama democrats having a short attention span by trying to distance himself from the vote and distract voters with other issues, but Alabama democratic voters don't suffer from amnesia. We have a memory like an elephant (pun intended).
Davis leads Sparks with African American voters however 24% (AA polled) of 407 (democrats polled) is 97.68. 34% of 98 is 37.24. That ain't a lot of African Americans. Whoever is the winner of the Democratic primary is going to need to garner at least 50% of the African American vote.
I'm just saying.